Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001803 0.001883 0.001966 0.002059 0.002161 0.002270 0.002395
2025-06-01 0.001651 0.001761 0.001881 0.002021 0.002183 0.002366 0.002590
2025-06-08 0.001579 0.001714 0.001865 0.002050 0.002273 0.002538 0.002886
2025-06-15 0.001516 0.001668 0.001843 0.002064 0.002341 0.002686 0.003167
2025-06-22 0.001448 0.001609 0.001798 0.002042 0.002359 0.002769 0.003371
2025-06-29 0.001385 0.001551 0.001749 0.002010 0.002357 0.002823 0.003538
2025-07-06 0.001339 0.001510 0.001718 0.001997 0.002376 0.002903 0.003751
2025-07-13 0.001272 0.001440 0.001645 0.001924 0.002308 0.002851 0.003749
2025-07-20 0.001240 0.001411 0.001624 0.001916 0.002329 0.002928 0.003967
2025-07-27 0.001219 0.001396 0.001618 0.001929 0.002378 0.003052 0.004284
2025-08-03 0.001190 0.001368 0.001594 0.001915 0.002386 0.003112 0.004495
2025-08-10 0.001174 0.001357 0.001592 0.001931 0.002439 0.003247 0.004881
2025-08-17 0.001149 0.001334 0.001574 0.001923 0.002457 0.003330 0.005189
2025-08-24 0.001120 0.001305 0.001546 0.001900 0.002449 0.003369 0.005411
2025-08-31 0.001112 0.001303 0.001554 0.001930 0.002528 0.003570 0.006081
2025-09-07 0.001099 0.001293 0.001551 0.001944 0.002581 0.003733 0.006727
2025-09-14 0.001076 0.001269 0.001528 0.001925 0.002579 0.003785 0.007087
2025-09-21 0.001051 0.001242 0.001500 0.001897 0.002557 0.003797 0.007331
2025-09-28 0.001032 0.001224 0.001483 0.001885 0.002562 0.003865 0.007791
2025-10-05 0.000998 0.001183 0.001432 0.001820 0.002470 0.003718 0.007448
2025-10-12 0.000983 0.001168 0.001420 0.001813 0.002482 0.003796 0.007961
2025-10-19 0.000975 0.001163 0.001419 0.001825 0.002527 0.003952 0.008883
2025-10-26 0.000960 0.001147 0.001403 0.001812 0.002527 0.004006 0.009424